Thursday, February 20, 2014

For the Steyniacs, a Webcast


The National Academies Press
NAS and The Royal Society to Release Joint Publication on Climate Change Science

On Thursday, February 27th from 10:00-11:30 EST, you're invited to join the US National Academy of Sciences and the UK's Royal Society for the release of Climate Change: Evidence & Causes . Written by a UK-US team of leading climate scientists and reviewed by climate scientists and others, the publication is intended as a brief, readable reference document that addresses some of the questions that continue to be asked. Miles O'Brien of the PBS Newshour will moderate a discussion between some of the authors and the audience.
Participants can join in person at the NAS building on Constitution Avenue & 21st Street, NW, or by webcast. Coffee service begins at 9:00 a.m.
Register today to attend in person or view the webcast.

Special Discount
To celebrate the release of this publication, the National Academies Press is offering a 25% discount off the list price of the reports in our climate change collection. Just enter discount code CHANGE at checkout. These reports are also available as free PDF downloads at NAP.edu.

Abrupt Impacts of Climate Change: Anticipating Surprises (2013)
$59.95 $44.96

Climate is changing, forced out of the range of the past million years by levels of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases not seen in the Earth's atmosphere for a very, very long time. Lacking action by the world's nations, it is clear that the planet will be warmer, sea level will rise, and ... [read more]

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America's Climate Choices (2011)
$29.95 $22.46

Climate change is occurring. It is very likely caused by the emission of greenhouse gases from human activities, and poses significant risks for a range of human and natural systems. And these emissions continue to increase, which will result in further change and greater risks.
... [read more]

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Climate and Social Stress: Implications for Security Analysis (2013)
$54.00 $40.50

Climate change can reasonably be expected to increase the frequency and intensity of a variety of potentially disruptive environmental events--slowly at first, but then more quickly. It is prudent to expect to be surprised by the way in which these events may cascade, or have far-reaching ... [read more]

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Sea-Level Rise for the Coasts of California, Oregon, and Washington: Past, Present, and Future (2012)
$54.00 $40.50

Tide gauges show that global sea level has risen about 7 inches during the 20th century, and recent satellite data show that the rate of sea-level rise is accelerating. As Earth warms, sea levels are rising mainly because ocean water expands as it warms; and water from melting glaciers and ice ... [read more]

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Himalayan Glaciers: Climate Change, Water Resources, and Water Security (2012)
$49.00 $36.75

Scientific evidence shows that most glaciers in South Asia's Hindu Kush Himalayan region are retreating, but the consequences for the region's water supply are unclear, this report finds. The Hindu Kush Himalayan region is the location of several of Asia's great river systems, which provide ... [read more]

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Climate Change: Evidence, Impacts, and Choices: PDF Booklet (2012)

What is climate? Climate is commonly thought of as the expected weather conditions at a given location over time. People know when they go to New York City in winter, they should take a heavy coat. When they visit the Pacific Northwest, they should take an umbrella. Climate can be measured as ... [read more]

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2 comments:

J Melcher said...

Well, if ALL these authorities are convinced that the question is a "slam dunk", and that nothing has been in the least "sexed up" in the analysis, then I suppose the UK and US should, after all, declare war and seek authorization for the use of military force against the axis of climate change agents: China, India, and Russia, who not only are dumping mega-tonnage of chemicals of mass destruction into our common atmosphere, but have repeated refused calls from the UN and other international bodies to abide by treaties aimed to reduce the risks of such emissions.

War is a terrible thing. But it is not the most terrible of all things. We MUST end the coal-pollution and per-capital energy escalation and emission rates of these nations who scoff at the laws of men, nations, and science itself.

I call upon Appell, Mann, Steyn, Simberg, Hansen, left, right and center to join in the effort to FORCE compliance with scientifically-based emission targets upon the denialist regimes.

Unless, of course, there is any uncertainty. If we are, for example, only 51% sure that 51% of the observed warming is due to human activity and CO2 emissions, that 51% of that warming is harmful toward 51% or so of the world's region, (as 97% of our scientists tell us, "most" of this and "most of" that and the "majority of the" other) then perhaps, just perhaps, we should hold off on drastic action such as war (or economic suicide) until a bit more data has been gathered, analyzed, and debated.

Oh wait. Forget the "debate." Free speech is such an 18th century concept...

David Appell said...

J Melcher: China, India, and Russia are not the axis of climate change agents.

In fact, it is the US and Great Britian.

Per capita, Great Britian has emitted more CO2 into the atmosphere than any other country, according to Hansen's book.

As a country, the US is by far the biggest carbon polluter. As of 2010, the US had emitted 28% of 1900-2010 emissions; China just 10%. UK: 5%. India: 3%. Russia/Soviet Union: 8%.

It will be a long time until China surpasses the US. Per capita the US emits about 2.5 times that of the Chinese, and about 11 times India.

Not only that, but about 16% of China's emissions go towards products consumed in the US, and about 9% to Europe.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/datablog/2009/sep/02/co2-emissions-historical